Mainz 05 vs SV Alsenborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
SAA
3 - 0
M05
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
M05
1 - 0
VFR
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
TUS
2 - 4
M05
57%
21%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
M05
2 - 0
GME
82%
12%
6%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1966 |
SVW
1 - 1
M05
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SV Alsenborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
ALS
2 - 1
PIR
37%
23%
39%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
ALS
3 - 0
BNE
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
SAA
2 - 2
ALS
55%
22%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
ALS
3 - 0
VFR
60%
19%
21%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1966 |
TUS
2 - 3
ALS
65%
18%
17%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |