Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
M05
1 - 1
WOL
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
M05
2 - 2
S04
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
AUG
1 - 1
M05
31%
27%
43%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
M05
0 - 3
BYM
12%
19%
69%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
SGF
0 - 3
M05
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
SCF
0 - 0
EIN
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 3
SCF
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SCF
1 - 0
F95
50%
26%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
HOF
2 - 1
SCF
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
SCF
0 - 0
LEV
22%
23%
54%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |