Mainz 05 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
KÖL
2 - 0
M05
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1998 |
M05
0 - 0
ROT
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1998 |
COT
2 - 2
M05
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
M05
3 - 0
STP
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
GUT
6 - 1
M05
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
F95
1 - 3
ULM
67%
19%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
HAN
0 - 2
F95
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1998 |
BRE
3 - 2
F95
79%
14%
8%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
F95
1 - 3
UNT
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1998 |
KOL
1 - 0
F95
65%
19%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |