Mainz 05 vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
65.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
M05
2 - 0
RVO
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1965 |
MUN
1 - 2
M05
90%
7%
3%
|
46 | 84 | 38 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
SUL
3 - 1
M05
60%
20%
20%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1965 |
M05
2 - 2
MUN
16%
20%
64%
|
46 | 84 | 38 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
M05
0 - 1
SAA
52%
23%
26%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1965 |
KSC
1 - 1
FCN
28%
23%
49%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1965 |
FCN
2 - 2
MUN
61%
19%
20%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1965 |
FCN
3 - 1
HSV
50%
20%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1965 |
S04
1 - 3
FCN
29%
23%
48%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1965 |
FCN
1 - 0
HAN
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |