Mainz 05 vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
20.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
FCN
2 - 0
M05
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
M05
1 - 0
COT
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
M05
0 - 0
KÖL
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
OFC
2 - 2
M05
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1999 |
BYM
3 - 0
M05
80%
14%
6%
|
73 | 93 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2000 |
CHE
2 - 1
KÖL
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2000 |
OFC
2 - 0
CHE
39%
27%
35%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2000 |
CHE
0 - 0
WAL
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2000 |
MON
1 - 0
CHE
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1999 |
TEN
0 - 0
CHE
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |