Mainz 05 vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2007 |
AAA
0 - 3
M05
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2007 |
KAI
0 - 0
M05
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
M05
4 - 1
OSN
71%
18%
10%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
PAD
1 - 1
M05
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
MUN
2 - 1
M05
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
KOL
3 - 0
AUG
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
HOF
0 - 2
KOL
39%
25%
36%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
KOL
3 - 2
ERZ
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
OSN
2 - 1
KOL
25%
23%
52%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
KOL
2 - 1
PAD
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |