Madureira RJ vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
BOT
3 - 2
MAD
89%
9%
2%
|
48 | 82 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
BOA
3 - 1
MAD
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
MAD
2 - 4
FLA
11%
20%
69%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
MAD
2 - 1
MES
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
VOL
0 - 1
MAD
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
FRI
1 - 0
RES
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
AME
1 - 0
FRI
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
FRI
1 - 3
FLU
9%
18%
74%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
FRI
2 - 1
CAB
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
DUQ
0 - 1
FRI
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |