Madureira RJ vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
OLA
1 - 0
MAD
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
MAD
0 - 2
AFC
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 2
MAD
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
MAD
6 - 2
OPE
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
OPE
2 - 4
MAD
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
BAN
0 - 1
FLU
12%
22%
66%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 2
BAN
85%
11%
4%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 1
TIG
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
BAN
1 - 1
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FRI
2 - 3
BAN
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |