EFL Cup . 1/64
Global 3-2
Macclesfield Town vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
MAC
0 - 1
FUL
44%
27%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
EXE
1 - 3
MAC
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
MAC
3 - 2
CHE
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
CAR
1 - 2
MAC
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1998 |
MAC
2 - 0
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
NOR
1 - 3
STO
56%
25%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
STO
2 - 5
MAC
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
SUN
3 - 0
STO
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
STO
2 - 0
NOR
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1998 |
CRE
2 - 0
STO
63%
22%
16%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |