Macclesfield Town vs Newcastle Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
STE
2 - 2
MAC
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 0
SCU
45%
26%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 1
MOR
45%
26%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 2
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
BPO
2 - 2
MAC
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
SUN
4 - 0
NWC
81%
14%
6%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
NWC
1 - 1
MAC
29%
22%
48%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
GRI
2 - 3
NWC
44%
24%
31%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
NOT
0 - 2
NWC
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
DON
1 - 3
NWC
69%
20%
12%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | +2 |