Macaé Esporte vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
66.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PAY
3 - 3
MAC
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
PAY
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 2
VOL
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CRB
0 - 0
MAC
44%
27%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 1
FRI
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 0
SHA
34%
24%
42%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 1
FLA
46%
27%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
FLA
4 - 0
VIT
60%
23%
18%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 1
CRI
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
ATM
4 - 0
FLA
61%
21%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |