Maltby Main vs Hemsworth MW analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maltby Main
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
KNA
1 - 2
MAL
29%
21%
50%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MAL
1 - 1
BAR
55%
21%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BOT
3 - 0
MAL
49%
22%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
MAL
2 - 2
THA
82%
12%
7%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MAL
0 - 1
ALB
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hemsworth MW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
WIN
2 - 0
HEM
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HEM
1 - 1
MAN
12%
17%
71%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ATH
1 - 4
HEM
29%
21%
50%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
HEM
0 - 6
ECC
11%
16%
73%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HAN
5 - 3
HEM
89%
8%
3%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | 0 |