Luton Town vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2022 |
FUL
7 - 0
LUT
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LUT
1 - 1
BPO
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
LUT
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
LUT
1 - 0
NTT
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
HUR
2 - 0
LUT
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
REA
0 - 1
WBA
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
HUL
3 - 0
REA
45%
27%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
REA
4 - 4
SWA
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
SHE
1 - 2
REA
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
REA
1 - 2
CAR
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |