Lusitano GC Évora vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
CAL
1 - 2
LGC
51%
23%
27%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
LGC
0 - 3
VIT
60%
20%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
FAB
0 - 0
LGC
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
LGC
3 - 3
SCP
28%
24%
49%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
LGC
7 - 1
TOR
64%
19%
17%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
ACA
2 - 3
VST
56%
21%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
FCP
1 - 1
ACA
79%
12%
9%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
ACA
1 - 1
SPB
55%
21%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
FCB
2 - 1
ACA
55%
21%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
ACA
1 - 2
BEL
38%
25%
38%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |