FC Lugano vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
FCV
0 - 3
LUG
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 1
ZUR
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
SIO
0 - 3
LUG
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
LAU
2 - 0
LUG
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 3
FCL
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BAS
4 - 1
FCL
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SER
2 - 1
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 1
YOB
36%
24%
40%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
STG
3 - 1
BAS
31%
24%
46%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 0
LAU
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |