Serie B Round 1

Lucchese Libertas vs SSC Bari analysis

Lucchese Libertas SSC Bari
69 ELO 76
-15.2% Tilt -6.4%
2895º General ELO ranking 368º
104º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
37.7%
Lucchese Libertas
29.2%
Draw
33.1%
SSC Bari

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
Lucchese Libertas
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.1%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
33.2%
Win probability
SSC Bari
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lucchese Libertas
+17%
-7%
SSC Bari

ELO progression

Lucchese Libertas
SSC Bari
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lucchese Libertas
Lucchese Libertas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 1993
ABN
AlbinoLeffe
2 - 3
Lucchese Libertas
ASL
31%
27%
42%
69 55 14 0
13 Jun. 1993
LEC
Lecce
2 - 1
Lucchese Libertas
ASL
55%
26%
19%
69 76 7 0
06 Jun. 1993
ASL
Lucchese Libertas
1 - 1
Padova
PAD
47%
30%
23%
69 73 4 0
30 May. 1993
ASS
AC Monza
0 - 0
Lucchese Libertas
ASL
40%
30%
29%
69 66 3 0
23 May. 1993
ASL
Lucchese Libertas
0 - 0
Cremonese
USC
39%
30%
31%
69 77 8 0

Matches

SSC Bari
SSC Bari
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 1993
AVE
Avellino
1 - 0
SSC Bari
BAR
25%
26%
50%
76 63 13 0
13 Jun. 1993
MOD
Modena
1 - 2
SSC Bari
BAR
38%
29%
34%
76 67 9 0
06 Jun. 1993
BAR
SSC Bari
1 - 2
Cremonese
USC
48%
29%
24%
76 77 1 0
30 May. 1993
PIS
Pisa SC
1 - 0
SSC Bari
BAR
34%
31%
36%
77 74 3 -1
23 May. 1993
BAR
SSC Bari
1 - 2
Cosenza Calcio
COS
54%
27%
19%
77 74 3 0