Lucena vs RC Portuense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
ANT
1 - 1
LUC
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
POZ
2 - 2
LUC
33%
27%
41%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2001 |
LUC
0 - 1
AYA
58%
24%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
PAL
1 - 4
LUC
37%
27%
36%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
LUC
2 - 3
CRD
55%
24%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
RC Portuense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
POR
1 - 0
MON
49%
27%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
POR
3 - 2
VVA
38%
28%
34%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2001 |
JER
1 - 0
POR
57%
25%
18%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
POR
0 - 2
RLI
75%
17%
8%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
UDT
0 - 1
POR
29%
28%
44%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |