Lorient vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
REN
3 - 2
LOR
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
DIJ
1 - 0
LOR
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 2
NAN
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NIC
2 - 1
LOR
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 0
LYO
22%
24%
55%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
STL
0 - 2
MPL
14%
20%
66%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
MON
6 - 2
MPL
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MPL
3 - 2
CAE
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
DIJ
3 - 3
MPL
27%
26%
47%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MPL
0 - 1
MET
61%
23%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |