Lorca CF vs Alicante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
CAR
6 - 0
LOR
64%
18%
18%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
LOR
0 - 2
CRE
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
LOR
0 - 3
ELD
58%
20%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
ALM
1 - 1
LOR
31%
22%
46%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
LOR
4 - 1
IMP
72%
15%
13%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
ALI
3 - 1
ALM
75%
14%
11%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
IMP
1 - 2
ALI
46%
22%
33%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
ALI
0 - 3
ELC
40%
21%
39%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -3 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
CIE
0 - 5
ALI
37%
23%
41%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
ALI
3 - 1
ALB
31%
22%
47%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | +1 |