Cup Winners Cup . 1/16
Global 2-2
Lokomotiv Moskva vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1996 |
FCR
0 - 2
LOK
27%
27%
47%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
LOK
2 - 1
TOR
58%
24%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
NOS
1 - 2
LOK
6%
19%
75%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
LOK
2 - 0
KAM
69%
21%
11%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1996 |
DIN
4 - 2
LOK
48%
27%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
NKV
1 - 2
HKS
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
DZG
6 - 1
NKV
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
NKV
0 - 0
MAR
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
NKV
1 - 1
HDR
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
HKS
1 - 0
NKV
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |