Europa League Eliminatorias. 1/16
Global 2-2
Lokomotiv Moskva vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
AND
5 - 3
LOK
60%
21%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
LOK
3 - 1
STR
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ZEN
2 - 1
LOK
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SPA
2 - 0
LOK
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LOK
1 - 1
CSK
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BET
2 - 1
ATH
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
ATH
6 - 2
MIR
81%
14%
6%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ATH
3 - 3
ESP
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
MIR
1 - 2
ATH
21%
26%
54%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
RAY
2 - 3
ATH
34%
26%
40%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |