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FAW Championship Gales. Sur, Matchday 12

Llanelli Town AFC vs Taffs Well analysis

Llanelli Town AFC Taffs Well
11 ELO 17
23% Tilt 82%
10030º General ELO ranking 7865º
86º Country ELO ranking 39º
ELO win probability
31.9%
Llanelli Town AFC
22.2%
Draw
45.9%
Taffs Well

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
Llanelli Town AFC
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
45.9%
Win probability
Taffs Well
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Llanelli Town AFC
+55%
+81%
Taffs Well

Points and table prediction

Llanelli Town AFC
Their league position
Taffs Well
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
15º
14
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Llantwit Major
28
64
31%
Pontypridd Town
27
62
22%
Briton Ferry
25
65
19%
Goytre United
25
54
9%
Cambrian & Clydach
17
48
9%
Llanelli Town AFC
16
39
8%
Ammanford AFC
15
49
9%
Trefelin
15
49
6%
Taffs Well
14
43
7%
Carmarthen Town
10º
13
32
11º
8%
Swansea University
11º
11
30
14º
8%
Cwmbran Celtic
12º
10
33
10º
9%
Afan Lido
13º
9
28
15º
10%
Risca United
14º
8
31
13º
9%
Undy Athletic
15º
6
31
12º
9%
Port Talbot Town
16º
0
8
16º
43%
Expected probabilities
Llanelli Town AFC
Taffs Well
Champion
2% 2%
Mid-table
87% 87%
Relegation
11% 11%

ELO progression

Taffs Well
TAF
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
Briton Ferry
BRI
Cwmbran Celtic
CWM
Carmarthen Town
CAR
Cambrian & Clydach
CAM
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Llanelli Town AFC
Llanelli Town AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO LLA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2021
SUF
Swansea University
2 - 2
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
47%
27%
26%
157 212 55 0
17 Sep. 2021
LLA
Llanelli Town AFC
1 - 2
Llantwit Major
LLA
41%
28%
30%
158 223 -65 -1
11 Sep. 2021
UND
Undy Athletic
1 - 2
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
45%
27%
28%
157 159 2 +1
04 Sep. 2021
MON
Monmouth Town FC
3 - 0
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
47%
27%
26%
161 238 77 -4
28 Aug. 2021
POR
Port Talbot Town
0 - 6
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
47%
27%
26%
157 294 137 +3

Matches

Taffs Well
Taffs Well
1%
X%
2%
ELO TAF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2021
BUC
Buckley Town
0 - 2
Taffs Well
TAF
45%
27%
28%
237 246 9 +4
09 Oct. 2021
TAF
Taffs Well
1 - 1
Trefelin
TRE
45%
27%
28%
236 219 17 0
02 Oct. 2021
LLA
Llantwit Major
4 - 2
Taffs Well
TAF
46%
27%
27%
238 223 -15 -2
24 Sep. 2021
TAF
Taffs Well
2 - 1
Llantwit Major
LLA
45%
27%
28%
236 225 11 +3
17 Sep. 2021
TAF
Taffs Well
3 - 0
Undy Athletic
UND
47%
27%
26%
233 158 75 +2