Liverpool vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
47.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
EXE
2 - 2
LIV
11%
21%
68%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2016 |
STO
0 - 1
LIV
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
WHU
2 - 0
LIV
36%
26%
39%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2015 |
SUN
0 - 1
LIV
24%
26%
51%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
LIV
1 - 0
LEI
48%
25%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ARS
3 - 1
SUN
74%
17%
9%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
ARS
1 - 0
NEW
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
ARS
2 - 0
BOU
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
4 - 0
ARS
27%
24%
49%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2015 |
ARS
2 - 1
MAC
31%
25%
44%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |