European U17 Championship qualifying Group 3 Round 1

Lithuania U17 vs Netherlands U17 analysis

Lithuania U17 Netherlands U17
32 ELO 63
8.5% Tilt 2.9%
8771º General ELO ranking 2585º
33º Country ELO ranking 56º
ELO win probability
13.5%
Lithuania U17
18.3%
Draw
68.1%
Netherlands U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
Lithuania U17
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
68.1%
Win probability
Netherlands U17
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lithuania U17
+9%
-26%
Netherlands U17

ELO progression

Lithuania U17
Netherlands U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lithuania U17
Lithuania U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2012
BEL
Belgium U17
2 - 0
Lithuania U17
LTU
74%
17%
9%
31 54 23 0
25 Mar. 2012
ISL
Iceland U17
4 - 0
Lithuania U17
LTU
70%
18%
12%
33 47 14 -2
22 Mar. 2012
DEN
Denmark U17
3 - 1
Lithuania U17
LTU
78%
15%
8%
33 57 24 0
20 Mar. 2012
SCO
Scotland U17
1 - 0
Lithuania U17
LTU
66%
20%
14%
34 48 14 -1
22 Oct. 2011
LTU
Lithuania U17
4 - 0
Armenia U17
ARM
39%
23%
38%
31 38 7 +3

Matches

Netherlands U17
Netherlands U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2012
NED
Netherlands U17
2 - 1
Latvia U17
LVA
77%
16%
7%
63 34 29 0
16 May. 2012
GER
Germany U17
1 - 1
Netherlands U17
NED
53%
23%
25%
64 68 4 -1
13 May. 2012
NED
Netherlands U17
2 - 0
Georgia U17
GEO
76%
17%
8%
64 48 16 0
10 May. 2012
NED
Netherlands U17
0 - 0
Poland U17
POL
71%
19%
11%
64 52 12 0
07 May. 2012
NED
Netherlands U17
0 - 0
Belgium U17
BEL
64%
21%
16%
64 54 10 0