NIFL Premiership Normal Season Round 16

Lisburn Distillery vs Ballymena United analysis

Lisburn Distillery Ballymena United
62 ELO 59
7.5% Tilt 4.9%
6475º General ELO ranking 2189º
36º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
56.8%
Lisburn Distillery
23%
Draw
20.2%
Ballymena United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
Lisburn Distillery
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.1%
Win probability
Ballymena United
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lisburn Distillery
-2%
+2%
Ballymena United

ELO progression

Lisburn Distillery
Ballymena United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lisburn Distillery
Lisburn Distillery
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2010
NEW
Newry City
1 - 1
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
33%
27%
41%
62 56 6 0
30 Oct. 2010
GLE
Glentoran
1 - 3
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
63%
22%
15%
61 70 9 +1
23 Oct. 2010
INS
Institute
0 - 3
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
22%
23%
55%
60 49 11 +1
16 Oct. 2010
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
4 - 1
Dungannon Swifts
DUN
53%
24%
23%
59 58 1 +1
09 Oct. 2010
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
2 - 4
Crusaders
CRU
37%
26%
37%
60 66 6 -1

Matches

Ballymena United
Ballymena United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2010
GLE
Glenavon
3 - 3
Ballymena United
BAL
39%
26%
36%
59 51 8 0
30 Oct. 2010
BAL
Ballymena United
3 - 3
Linfield
LIN
22%
25%
53%
59 72 13 0
23 Oct. 2010
BAL
Ballymena United
2 - 1
Ards FC
ARD
58%
22%
20%
59 53 6 0
16 Oct. 2010
BAL
Ballymena United
3 - 1
Portadown
POR
31%
25%
44%
58 63 5 +1
09 Oct. 2010
DON
Donegal Celtic
2 - 3
Ballymena United
BAL
52%
24%
24%
57 57 0 +1