Linfield vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 0
CRU
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 3
LIN
24%
24%
52%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 1
BAL
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 0
COL
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2016 |
POR
3 - 4
BAL
59%
22%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
COL
2 - 1
BAL
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 3
LIN
24%
24%
52%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
BAL
4 - 2
WAR
72%
16%
11%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CLI
4 - 2
BAL
71%
18%
12%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |