Cup Paulista . Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Linense CA vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linense CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
LIN
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LIN
3 - 3
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 0
LIN
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LIN
3 - 1
SAO
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
AUD
1 - 1
LIN
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
LIN
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
IND
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
IND
1 - 1
PEN
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 3
PEN
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 1
RIO
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |