Lincoln City vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 1
LIN
27%
27%
46%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
SCU
0 - 1
LIN
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
BOS
1 - 4
LIN
21%
22%
57%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
LIN
0 - 1
BBU
28%
25%
48%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
LIN
0 - 1
SHW
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
SWI
0 - 4
CHE
38%
23%
39%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SWI
3 - 2
MAC
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
SWI
1 - 4
SWI
16%
19%
65%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
SWI
0 - 2
OPA
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 0
SWI
23%
22%
55%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |