Lincoln City vs Shrewsbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
CUM
0 - 1
LIN
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
LIN
3 - 2
EXE
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 0
LIN
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
LIN
3 - 1
GRI
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 3
LIN
23%
25%
53%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
STF
3 - 2
OXF
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
ROC
3 - 1
STF
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
STF
1 - 0
AFC
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 1
STF
24%
27%
49%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SCU
1 - 2
STF
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |