Lincoln City vs Mansfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
EXE
0 - 3
LIN
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
BBU
4 - 1
LIN
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
LIN
3 - 1
NOT
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 1
BCF
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
GRI
1 - 1
LIN
16%
25%
59%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 0
CUM
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
WBA
2 - 1
MAN
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 1
MAN
30%
30%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
TRA
0 - 0
MAN
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 1
COL
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |