Lille II vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
AAC
0 - 1
LIL
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LIL
0 - 1
SED
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
LIL
2 - 1
DRA
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 1
LIL
32%
27%
41%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
LIL
1 - 2
PSG
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ARR
3 - 0
MAN
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ASB
2 - 1
ARR
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
GRA
4 - 5
ARR
27%
26%
47%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 3
OIS
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LEH
3 - 2
ARR
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -2 |