Ligorna vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
46.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ligorna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
BOR
1 - 1
LIG
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
LIG
4 - 3
LAV
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
LIG
0 - 0
VFC
72%
16%
12%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 2
LIG
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
3 - 0
LIG
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ASL
1 - 0
SAV
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
ASL
16%
28%
56%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ASL
0 - 0
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
GHI
1 - 1
ASL
26%
28%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ASL
1 - 2
USR
77%
16%
7%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |