Liestal vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
40.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
LIE
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
LIE
4 - 1
BAS
34%
23%
43%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LIE
0 - 4
COL
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LIE
3 - 3
FCT
84%
11%
6%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
LYS
4 - 0
LIE
59%
20%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
MOU
4 - 1
LAU
70%
18%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
MOU
3 - 0
FCW
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ALL
3 - 1
MOU
33%
22%
45%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FCC
0 - 1
MOU
28%
22%
51%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
3 - 1
MOU
45%
22%
32%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -2 |