Licata vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Licata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 1
LIC
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LIC
3 - 2
ASD
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LIC
0 - 1
POL
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SER
1 - 1
LIC
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LIC
0 - 1
ACI
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 2
MES
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MES
1 - 3
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MES
1 - 0
NUV
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 1
MES
48%
26%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MES
1 - 0
ACP
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |