Copa Libertadores Playoffs. Last 16
Global 5-1
Libertad vs Jorge Wilstermann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
SPO
2 - 2
LIB
15%
22%
63%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 2
NAC
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
GEN
3 - 4
LIB
11%
21%
68%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
LIB
3 - 1
RPA
72%
19%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CCP
1 - 0
LIB
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
COL
0 - 1
JWI
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
ATP
0 - 0
JWI
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
JWI
3 - 1
PEÑ
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
JWI
2 - 3
ATP
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
BOL
1 - 1
JWI
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |