WC Qual. Africa Grupo H round 5

Liberia vs Tunisia analysis

Liberia Tunisia
55 ELO 84
-16.4% Tilt -6.4%
3779º General ELO ranking 304º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
8.8%
Liberia
19.6%
Draw
71.6%
Tunisia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
Liberia
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
71.6%
Win probability
Tunisia
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Liberia
-5%
-4%
Tunisia

ELO progression

Liberia
Tunisia
Equatorial Guinea
Malawi
Namibia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Liberia
Liberia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Dec. 2024
SEN
Senegal
3 - 0
Liberia
LBR
84%
12%
4%
56 86 30 0
22 Dec. 2024
LBR
Liberia
1 - 1
Senegal
SEN
8%
22%
70%
55 87 32 +1
17 Nov. 2024
ALG
Algeria
5 - 1
Liberia
LBR
86%
11%
3%
55 86 31 0
13 Nov. 2024
LBR
Liberia
1 - 0
Togo
TOG
19%
24%
57%
54 66 12 +1
01 Nov. 2024
LBR
Liberia
1 - 1
Sierra Leone
SLE
30%
25%
46%
54 58 4 0

Matches

Tunisia
Tunisia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2024
TUN
Tunisia
0 - 1
Gambia
GAM
70%
21%
10%
84 63 21 0
14 Nov. 2024
MAD
Madagascar
2 - 3
Tunisia
TUN
19%
25%
56%
84 65 19 0
15 Oct. 2024
COM
Comoros
1 - 1
Tunisia
TUN
16%
24%
61%
84 60 24 0
11 Oct. 2024
TUN
Tunisia
0 - 1
Comoros
COM
74%
19%
7%
84 58 26 0
08 Sep. 2024
GAM
Gambia
1 - 2
Tunisia
TUN
18%
25%
57%
84 64 20 0