Lebanon vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
62%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
27%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
LKA
0 - 3
LBN
9%
18%
73%
|
65 | 26 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
LBN
2 - 1
TKM
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
OMN
1 - 0
LBN
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
LBN
4 - 1
PRK
33%
26%
40%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
LBN
0 - 2
SAU
20%
24%
57%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
PRK
0 - 0
KOR
13%
23%
64%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
KOR
8 - 0
LKA
82%
15%
4%
|
88 | 26 | 62 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
TKM
0 - 2
KOR
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
KOR
2 - 2
GEO
69%
20%
12%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
KOR
1 - 1
IRN
47%
27%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |