Leyton Orient vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
GUL
2 - 0
LEY
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2006 |
BRO
3 - 3
LEY
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
CHA
2 - 1
LEY
83%
11%
5%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
WRE
1 - 2
LEY
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
LEY
1 - 2
NOR
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
CUM
5 - 0
CHE
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
MAC
3 - 0
CUM
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
CUM
1 - 0
KID
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
CUM
1 - 1
CHE
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
BOS
0 - 5
CUM
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |