FA Cup . Previa 3
Global 3-3
Lewes vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FAR
2 - 2
LEW
57%
21%
23%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
LEW
8 - 1
MOL
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
LEW
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
LEW
3 - 3
BOG
54%
22%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MOL
0 - 0
LEW
18%
21%
61%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FAR
2 - 2
LEW
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
FAR
4 - 3
WEY
18%
20%
62%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
HAR
2 - 2
FAR
53%
20%
27%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FAR
0 - 1
MER
65%
17%
18%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
HEN
2 - 1
FAR
72%
17%
12%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |