Copa del Rey . 1/16
Global 3-2
Levante vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
VAD
1 - 0
LEV
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
LEV
3 - 0
ALM
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
VIL
3 - 0
LEV
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
LEV
0 - 1
ATM
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
LEV
0 - 2
SEV
22%
27%
51%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
ALM
0 - 0
ATM
29%
27%
45%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
LEV
3 - 0
ALM
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
ALM
0 - 1
ZAR
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
FCB
2 - 0
ALM
85%
11%
4%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
ALM
2 - 0
OSA
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |