Copa MX Apertura . Final

León vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis

León Chivas Guadalajara
81 ELO 78
16.1% Tilt 12.4%
410º General ELO ranking 383º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
66.1%
León
20%
Draw
14%
Chivas Guadalajara

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
León
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14%
Win probability
Chivas Guadalajara
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
León
-7%
+7%
Chivas Guadalajara

ELO progression

León
Chivas Guadalajara
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

León
León
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2015
LEO
León
2 - 1
Atlas Guadalajara
ATS
67%
20%
13%
81 76 5 0
29 Oct. 2015
LEO
León
1 - 0
Atlas Guadalajara
ATS
63%
21%
16%
80 76 4 +1
26 Oct. 2015
PUE
Puebla
1 - 0
León
LEO
39%
25%
36%
80 78 2 0
21 Oct. 2015
LEO
León
2 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
61%
22%
17%
80 80 0 0
18 Oct. 2015
LEO
León
1 - 3
Pumas UNAM
PUM
60%
21%
19%
81 77 4 -1

Matches

Chivas Guadalajara
Chivas Guadalajara
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2015
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
4 - 4
Pachuca
PAC
32%
27%
42%
77 80 3 0
29 Oct. 2015
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
1 - 0
Toluca
TOL
33%
28%
39%
76 83 7 +1
21 Oct. 2015
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
1 - 1
Veracruz
VER
43%
27%
30%
76 75 1 0
19 Oct. 2015
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
1 - 1
Puebla
PUE
40%
29%
32%
76 78 2 0
04 Oct. 2015
PUM
Pumas UNAM
1 - 0
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
48%
27%
26%
76 76 0 0
X