Lens vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
MON
1 - 2
LEN
54%
26%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
LEN
1 - 2
REN
51%
26%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 0
LEN
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
LEN
2 - 0
AUX
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
FCK
2 - 1
LEN
48%
27%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
ASS
0 - 0
AUX
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
TFC
0 - 2
ASS
47%
27%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
ASS
1 - 0
MAR
35%
28%
38%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
AUX
1 - 0
ASS
55%
26%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
NIC
3 - 0
ASS
47%
28%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |