Lens vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LEN
1 - 1
LYO
17%
20%
63%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
STR
1 - 2
LEN
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
LEN
2 - 2
MET
41%
27%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
RED
3 - 2
LEN
17%
22%
62%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
ASS
2 - 3
LEN
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
LOR
1 - 0
BRE
38%
26%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
NAN
1 - 1
LOR
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
LOR
1 - 1
NIC
28%
25%
46%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
LPV
1 - 0
LOR
8%
16%
76%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
MPL
1 - 1
LOR
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |