Lens vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
17.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 2
LEN
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
LEN
0 - 0
STL
67%
22%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ARL
3 - 0
LEN
19%
27%
54%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
LEN
0 - 0
ANG
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
LEN
2 - 0
USB
68%
21%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
GUI
4 - 0
MON
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
AMI
0 - 0
GUI
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
GUI
1 - 0
LHA
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
USB
2 - 0
GUI
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
GUI
0 - 0
TRO
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |