Lens vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
MET
0 - 2
LEN
36%
28%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
LEN
1 - 1
LYO
30%
26%
44%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
GIR
0 - 0
LEN
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
LEN
2 - 1
REN
54%
25%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
NIC
4 - 0
LEN
33%
29%
39%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
BAS
4 - 1
MAR
41%
29%
31%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
SOC
2 - 1
BAS
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 0
AUX
31%
29%
40%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
GUI
1 - 0
BAS
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 0
TFC
60%
24%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |