Lens vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
TRO
1 - 1
LEN
39%
27%
34%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
LEN
1 - 0
SED
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
LEN
0 - 0
GIR
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
REN
1 - 2
LEN
45%
26%
30%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
LEN
2 - 0
MPL
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
BAS
1 - 2
GIR
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
MPL
2 - 1
BAS
40%
28%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
BAS
3 - 1
LOR
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
PSG
1 - 0
BAS
61%
22%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
BAS
1 - 2
REN
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |