Leiria e Marrazes vs Alqueidão Serra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leiria e Marrazes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NAZ
1 - 1
LEM
29%
23%
48%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LEM
2 - 0
PEL
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ALV
0 - 0
LEM
23%
22%
55%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LEM
0 - 1
PEN
37%
24%
39%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BEN
3 - 0
LEM
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Alqueidão Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 3
PEL
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 0
ALQ
75%
16%
9%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ALQ
0 - 3
CCA
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ADP
1 - 2
ALQ
29%
24%
47%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 1
MDB
34%
23%
43%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |