Leeds United vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
LEE
1 - 2
SHE
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
LEI
3 - 1
LEE
75%
16%
8%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
BRI
0 - 3
LEE
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
LEE
0 - 1
REA
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SHW
3 - 0
LEE
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 2
DER
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
DER
2 - 0
SHW
48%
27%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
DER
2 - 0
NTT
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
DER
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
BRE
1 - 1
DER
49%
25%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |