Leeds United vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
DER
1 - 4
LEE
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
LEE
3 - 1
STO
16%
25%
59%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
LEE
1 - 0
UDL
22%
22%
56%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
GUI
3 - 4
LEE
9%
17%
74%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
OXF
4 - 3
LEE
30%
23%
48%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BOL
2 - 2
BRI
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
WBA
1 - 2
BOL
77%
16%
7%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
POS
0 - 2
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
GUI
3 - 1
BOL
13%
20%
67%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
BOL
0 - 0
GIR
12%
19%
69%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | +1 |