Lech Poznań II vs Stomil Olsztyn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
44.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
7º
18º
13º
33
10º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 61 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 55 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 54 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 52 |
4º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 50 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 50 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 49 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 48 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 48 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 46 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 43 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 43 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
|
14º
|
39 | 43 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 42 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 40 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 38 |
16º
|
31% | |
|
|
17º
|
33 | 37 |
17º
|
51% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 32 |
18º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
86.5% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
13.5% | 89% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
LPO
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
LPO
4 - 3
HUT
40%
26%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
KAL
2 - 1
LPO
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
STA
3 - 1
LPO
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LPO
0 - 3
LKS
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Stomil Olsztyn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
STO
2 - 1
SKR
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 0
STO
33%
28%
40%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
STO
2 - 1
KOT
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
STO
1 - 1
OLI
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
TSP
4 - 3
STO
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |